So Clinton wins PA and nothing changes. According to NBC she would need to win the states that are left by some 70% to garner enough delegate votes to overcome Obama. Then what? As the NY Times points out, Clinton has become a clone of the GOP. Her attacks on Obama are damaging not only Obama, but Clinton herself.
So, she can not win the pledged delegates, so it's up to the super-delegates.
Here is how I think this can play out.
1. Obama wins the nomination. The GOP will use the same tactics as Clinton, uses her words and her statements against Obama. There is nothing worse that using your own party's words against you. That is what Reagan did against Carter, using Kennedy's attacks against Carter. Who won?
2. Clinton wins the nomination. She does it by convincing the super-delegates that she is more electable, thereby overturning the popular election results. Thats is the same argument that is used to discredit the 2000 election for W. This is the worse scenario. People will be upset and not vote. Feel resentful to the party.
Either way, the Dems have lost the Presidency to McCain. Years from now Historians will point to what should have been a great campaign (a black and a women as front runners) and lament how it all turn to hell. They will place the blame on Clinton for destroying the coalition that was the Democrat Party. Her tactics have a ring of "If I don't win, he can't either". The longer she continues to attack him, the more McCain gains. She does not seem to see that, or frankly care.
Do you really believe that if it was the other way around, and it was Obama that had lost 11 primaries in a row, was behind in delegates and popular vote, that he would not been pressured to give up?
This whole notion that Obama "outspent me", but I won PA, therefore I am the stronger candidate is ludicrous. She was always the favorite. He was polling 20-30 points behind for a long time. It is amazing that with all her friends and name recognition that she only won by some 10 points. Should not have she won by some 30 points with all the advantage she had going into this process.
This is the end for the Democratic Party for a long time. If she wins, she will surely lose. If he wins, all the damage that she has cause will help the GOP. It too bad that she does not see it. History will not absolve her. History will be cruel to her.
Thursday, April 24, 2008
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2 comments:
Well said babe! You are so insightful!
A-men...
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